Matthew Cantele - 'Biodiversity futures in a globalising world: SSP integration and elaboration within a large multidimensional computable general equilibrium model'
The biophysical world is heavily influenced by humans, so much so that the current era has been coined the Anthropocene. Understanding the role of human impact on our environment requires insight into how underlying socioeconomic trajectories are likely to influence biophysical systems. Integrated assessment models have been employed to link socioeconomic with biophysical models yet have focused primarily on climate change analysis. Computable general equilibrium models form a socioeconomic foundation within the integrated assessment model framework, generating percent change in commodity demand according to underlying driver trajectories. The current PhD will seek to elaborate a highly dimensional equilibrium model in order to produce ecologically relevant outputs according to established socioeconomic scenarios as well as explore the role of trade scenario variants on biodiversity outcomes.
Supervisors: Professor Brendan Wintle, Professor Tom Kompas, Dr. Payal Bal